What does it take to become a Hall of Fame pitcher? Does he need a certain amount of wins? Does he need a Cy Young Award on his resume? Is a memorable postseason required?
For the longest time, it seemed there were milestone numbers a player could reach for an automatic trip to the Baseball Hall of Fame. Offensive players had 3,000 hits, 500 home runs, or living up to the adage “three out of ten make a Hall of Famer” with a .300 career batting average. These are no longer automatic trips to Cooperstown thanks to PED suspicion and general offensive explosions.
Meanwhile pitchers trying to get into the Hall of Fame have a different disadvantage. They no longer pitch as many games or innings as they used to so it’s important to always consider the era when comparing statistics. Cy Young, the all-time leader in wins, had 511 in his career. A modern-day pitcher can easily get into Cooperstown with less than half of that. For instance, Pedro Martinez goes into Cooperstown this summer with 219 wins in his career.
Asking a pitcher to win 300 games in a career is a very high demand. In spite of the fewer starts we see on a regular basis, we’re pretty lucky to have four pitchers who played throughout the 1990s get to the milestone. Greg Maddux, Roger Clemens, Tom Glavine, and Randy Johnson all won over 300 games.
Johnson was the most recent to reach 300, doing so in 2009. This may be the last time for a while too as nobody is very close at all. The 300-win mark is a good automatic judge for a Hall of Famer, but at the same level as 600 home runs. The only pitcher with 300 or more wins not in the Hall of Fame is Clemens and it has everything to do with PEDs—not baseball skill.
Wins are not everything when it comes to determining a pitcher’s value for Hall of Fame candidacy. As mentioned before, Martinez was elected in 2015 with only 219 of them. His career 2.93 ERA, 3,154 strikeouts, and three Cy Young Awards all helped him become an easy choice. A more realistic number for the modern-day Hall of Fame pitcher to try achieving might be 250 wins.
This total is still far from a guarantee. Players like Tommy John, Jim Kaat, and Mike Mussina all surpassed 250 wins and are without a Hall of Fame plaque. Andy Pettitte also celebrated his 250th career win at one point. Other statistics, like his 3.85 ERA, take away from this accomplishment.
In terms of strikeouts, reaching 3,000 seems to be milestone most want to reach. Again, though, this is not a guarantee at the Hall of Fame. Curt Schilling finished his career with over 3,000 and hasn’t come very close to Hall of Fame enshrinement. He doesn’t have the cloud of PEDs hanging over his head either. Similar to Pettitte, other numbers Schilling had are holding him back.
Unfortunately, for the Hall of Fame, using a pitcher’s ERA is not a good representation. While a very good number, it doesn’t tell the whole story of a pitcher.
The best example I could find of a modern day Hall of Fame pitcher might be Tim Hudson. Even with him, I’m not sure he belongs in Cooperstown even though he’s one of the best pitchers of this era. More than 200 wins, an ERA below 3.50, and a winning percentage of .633 make him worthy of all of the accolades anyone can earn.
The modern day Hall of Fame pitcher may not look as elite as he used to with few exceptions. Someone like Hudson, consistent for nearly two decades, is what it takes now for a pitcher to earn his spot in the Hall of Fame.